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“It would be very bad for consumers, very bad for the economy,” JPMorgan Chief Financial Officer Jeremy Barnum told reporters on Tuesday’s earnings call, adding that the bank would have to cut back the amount of credit it offers.
“Our belief is that actually this will have the exact opposite consequence to what the administration wants,” said Barnum.
Credit cards generate strong returns for banks, which charge high rates to compensate for the greater risk of default on card loans which are unsecured. The average interest rate in November stood at 20.97%, according to the Federal Reserve.
“Banks are asking us to trust them that taking their profits away will cause the world to collapse. But if you look at the data, there is a huge amount of profit that could absorb a rate cut,” said Brian Shearer, director of competition and regulatory policy at Vanderbilt Policy Accelerator, a research center at Vanderbilt University.
A 10% cap would save Americans $100 billion annually with only a modest impact on rewards and accounts, the center found in research published last year.
INDUSTRY SCRAMBLE
According to another senior industry executive, Trump’s post also caught some government officials by surprise, and the administration had not as of Monday afternoon engaged with lenders to discuss the proposal.
Executives aim to hold meetings in coming days with administration officials and lawmakers to explain the adverse consequences of a cap, this person said. They added that several lawmakers in both parties did not support the proposal, and that he did not expect the Senate to advance a bill on the issue.
“There’s just so little … information,” Barnum added on a post-earnings call. “This is happening very quickly in a sort of unconventional way, starting with a social media post.”
When asked in a separate call with reporters if the company would pursue legal action against rate caps, Barnum said: “If you wind up with weakly-supported directives to radically change our business that aren’t justified, you have to assume everything is on the table.”
In another jab at the financial industry, Trump overnight also voiced support on Truth Social for lowering card swipe fees.
Analysts said the growing headwinds for the credit card ecosystem were hurting investor sentiment on financial stocks.
The White House did not respond to a request for comment.
On Monday, the Electronic Payments Coalition, which represents financial institutions and card networks, said that 82% to 88% of open credit card accounts would be closed or severely restricted under a 10% cap. While subprime borrowers would be hardest hit, a cap would lead to higher annual fees for most borrowers and reductions in credit card rewards and more monthly account charges, lenders argued.
“You would have to adjust your model for the added risk by this and ongoing price controls,” JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon said in a call with analysts. “It would be dramatic.”
Reporting by Manya Saini and Arasu Kannagi Basil in Bengaluru and Saeed Azhar in New York; Additional reporting by Michelle Price, Richard Cowan and Katharine Jackson; Editing by Lananh Nguyen, Sriraj Kalluvila, Shinjini Ganguli and Nick Zieminski
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